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Notre Dame football: 3 reasons the Irish are too low in initial CFP rankings

Daniel Morrison
Daniel Morrison

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ARLINGTON, TEXAS - JANUARY 01: Ian Book #12 of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish snaps the ball against the Alabama Crimson Tide during the second quarter in the 2021 College Football Playoff Semifinal Game at the Rose Bowl Game presented by Capital One at AT&T Stadium on January 01, 2021 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)

Notre Dame Football
Dec 29, 2018; Arlington, TX, United States; View of the back of the helmet of Notre Dame football offensive lineman Max Siegel (64) during warm-ups for the 2018 Cotton Bowl college football playoff semifinal game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Clemson Tigers at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

The Notre Dame football team was announced as the No. 10 team in the initial CFP rankings, and we list why that is too low for the Irish.

In the initial CFP Rankings, Notre Dame football was announced as the number 10 team in the nation. At a glance, it seemed fair. After all, the Irish might be 8 in the AP Poll, but it was only a week ago they were number 11. Someone in that range is usually just a difference of opinion when moving from a base of writers to administrators deciding the poll.

However, when you look a little closer, you can see flaws in the logic, doublespeak, and other issues with Notre Dame’s initial Playoff Ranking.

Mind you, there are inherent issues to this system. The most important of those issues is the criteria that they don’t base the rankings off who is most deserving, but who they feel the “best” teams are. In other words, it’s subjective and they can do what they please with the result being “I feel,” rather than “I know.”

It’s also a committee of people who may know football or have been around it for a long time but also have a vested interest. These are athletic directors, former players, and coaches, and biases are inherent in all humans.

In other words, it’s a subjective ranking system based on human error and it ends in exclusion. Perfect system. This all may be subjective, but Notre Dame is still too low. Here are three reasons why:

SOUTH BEND, IN – OCTOBER 02: Michael Mayer #87 of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish is tackled by Darrian Beavers #0 of the Cincinnati Bearcats during the first half at Notre Dame Stadium on October 2, 2021, in South Bend, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)
SOUTH BEND, IN – OCTOBER 02: Michael Mayer #87 of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish is tackled by Darrian Beavers #0 of the Cincinnati Bearcats during the first half at Notre Dame Stadium on October 2, 2021, in South Bend, Indiana. (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)

Notre Dame football: 3 reasons the Irish are too low in initial CFP rankings

They’re Artificially Low to Keep Cincinnati Down

Let’s briefly play conspiracy. Cincinnati is currently ranked 2nd in the AP Poll, but 6th in the Playoff Rankings. Everyone knows there is a glass ceiling over Group of Five teams, no matter how good they are. Cincinnati, some people thought, had a shot at breaking that glass ceiling.

That clearly won’t happen now, and it’s seemingly by design.

Thinks about the backend of the rankings. SMU and Houston are both ranked in the AP Poll, and deservedly so, but they’re unranked in the Playoff Rankings. Instead, a laundry list of B1G 10 West teams are taking up prime real estate. Why? Because they will help to artificially inflate the B1G East teams. After all, Minnesota (who lost to Bowling Green) is currently Ohio State’s only ranked win in their top-25.

Notre Dame is Cincinnati’s best win and that’s not going to change. If you follow, they can’t afford to have a strong strength of schedule or resume for the glass ceiling to stay intact without lawsuits flying. So, the Irish are ranked lower than they should be to help keep Cincinnati down.

Yes, this is a bit of a conspiracy, but the truth is that it’s also how they operate.

Notre Dame football TE Tommy Tremble
Oct 26, 2019; Ann Arbor, MI, USA; Notre Dame Fighting Irish tight end Tommy Tremble (24) rushes against the Michigan Wolverines at Michigan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

Notre Dame football: 3 reasons the Irish are too low in initial CFP rankings

Who Has Michigan Beaten?

Michigan is a one-loss team that is ranked 7th in the country, according to the latest College Football Playoff Poll. Up until this past Saturday, they had been unbeaten, when they lost to Michigan State. They lost to Michigan State for all the continual issues Jim Harbaugh has continually had at Michigan. The offense stalled and settled for field goals. They didn’t look comfortable with the lead and blew a two-score lead in a big game.

Michigan had very quietly gotten to be unbeaten, and it begs the question, who did they beat?

Their out-of-conference schedule saw them beat two MAC schools and a dysfunctional Washington team, never once leaving The Big House. In the B1G 10, they beat Rutgers, Wisconsin, Nebraska, and Northwestern. Out of that group of four, only one is a mildly impressive opponent-Wisconsin. Notre Dame has beaten them too, and if we’re being honest, Wisconsin isn’t an intimidating opponent.

So, why is Michigan still getting so much credit? They have shown who they are year in and year out. They’ll beat those bad teams that they’ve played and will lose to the good ones. This year they just have a very backloaded schedule, which is why their record looks better than they are.

Of course, all of this should work itself over time, but that’s not the point. For now, Michigan is way too high.

SOUTH BEND, IN – NOVEMBER 04: Josh Adams #33 of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish breaks a tackle attempt by Cameron Glenn #2 of the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Notre Dame Stadium on November 4, 2017, in South Bend, Indiana. Notre Dame defeated Wake Forest 48-37. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
SOUTH BEND, IN – NOVEMBER 04: Josh Adams #33 of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish breaks a tackle attempt by Cameron Glenn #2 of the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Notre Dame Stadium on November 4, 2017, in South Bend, Indiana. Notre Dame defeated Wake Forest 48-37. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

Notre Dame football: 3 reasons the Irish are too low in initial CFP rankings

Notre Dame Is Better Than Several Unbeaten Teams

One very important thing is to remember that it is not the job of the selection committee to select the four most deserving teams or to rank teams from most deserving to least deserving. It’s their job to rank the teams that are the best from 1-25, based on what they’ve done in the games they’ve played. It’s a flawed and subjective way to go about doing things.

However, it is the way college football currently does things, so it may as well do them properly. There are at least two unbeaten teams ahead of Notre Dame that the Irish are better than.

Wake Forest comes in at number 9, but they’re not that good. For one, their defense isn’t anything special. They also don’t recruit athletes at the same level as anyone else in the top-10 (including Cincinnati), and Notre Dame is littered with more talent than them. That much you can see just by watching the two of them side by side.

Wake Forest also hasn’t played a remotely challenging schedule, which means that they haven’t looked as impressive as a school like Notre Dame against worse competition.

Oklahoma, which is ranked 8th, should have lost to Tulane and Kansas. They got credit for benching the pre-season Heisman frontrunner. Well, where is Brian Kelly’s credit for juggling three quarterbacks and not almost losing to a bad team? Oklahoma’s defense has regressed and on offense, they’ve had to turn to a freshman with a limited grasp on the playbook. They’re not better than the Irish.

Of course, that’s before you consider the one-loss schools like Oregon, Michigan, or even Ohio State. In other words, based on the language of who is best, there are a lot of teams that Notre Dame looks better than who is currently ahead of them in the rankings. There is time for that to change, but it’s still an issue for now.

Daniel Morrison

Daniel Morrison

Dan is a graduate of UMass Amherst. He is a life long football fan, and grew up on Notre Dame football, and the Patriots.