Notre Dame vs Duke Prediction and Promo: Bet $10, Win $200 at WynnBET Sportsbook

Notre Dame hosts Duke on Big Monday tonight at 7:00 PM EST (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)
Notre Dame hosts Duke on Big Monday tonight at 7:00 PM EST (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images) /

Notre Dame vs Duke Odds: Line, Spread, Over/Under

Riding a four-game winning streak, the 14-6 Notre Dame Fighting Irish host the 17-3 #9 Duke Blue Devils at 7:00 PM EST. WynnBET has the Fighting Irish as 5-point underdogs and +180 on the moneyline (bet $10 to win $18) while the over-under is 144.

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Here’s how we’re betting the game:

Notre Dame vs Duke Prediction

Winners of 10 of their last 11, the Fighting Irish are rolling. They’ve been friendly to spread bettors too, covering the spread in seven of their last eight.

Notre Dame boasts the 35th-best adjusted offensive efficiency in the country, per Bart Torvik. They protect the ball well with the 25th-lowest offensive turnover rate and are excellent shooters, ranking 24th in 3-point shooting percentage. With the 21st-ranked defensive rebounding rate, they’re able to prevent second-chance opportunities for their opponent as well.

They’ll take on a well-balanced Duke team that has won eight of their last 10 behind the 11th-best adjusted offensive efficiency and 34th-best adjusted defensive efficiency. The Blue Devils can score and defend anywhere on the court. They prevent easy baskets for their opponents with the 10th-lowest turnover rate and are the best in the country at defensive free throw rate.

Notre Dame will need to improve a perimeter defense that ranks 233rd nationally in defensive 3-point shooting percentage if they want to pull off an upset. Duke ranks 33rd in 3-point shooting, and to even keep the game close the Fighting Irish will have to make the shooters uncomfortable.

Luckily for the Irish, their home crowd at South Bend should be ready for Big Monday. Notre Dame is a perfect 9-0 at home this season and should ready for their biggest game at the Joyce Center. Notre Dame’s experience will play a huge role here as well, as they returned 79.7% of their minutes from last season compared to just 40.1% for Duke.

By utilizing their experience-laden roster and home court advantage, Notre Dame has a real shot to pull off the upset here. Their offense is on fire, and by protecting the basketball and preventing second-chance shots for Duke, they profile as a team that can hang with anyone.

The Blue Devils are just 2-2 on the road this season and were favored in both losses. I’ll take Notre Dame to keep this one close and love getting five points with a team that relishes these opportunities at home.

Notre Dame +5 (-110) is my best bet, though bettors should take a long look at the +180 odds to win outright as well.

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