Notre Dame vs Miami Prediction and Promo: Bet $10, Win $200 at WynnBET Sportsbook

Notre Dame hopes to bounce back as they play Miami tonight at 7:00 PM EST (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images)
Notre Dame hopes to bounce back as they play Miami tonight at 7:00 PM EST (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images) /

After a 14-point loss to Duke blew their undefeated streak at home, the 14-7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish play the surging 16-5 Miami Hurricanes at 7:00 PM EST tonight. WynnBET has the Irish as 4.5-point underdogs and +170 on the moneyline (bet $10 to win $17) while the over-under is set at 141.5.

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This is how we’re betting this game:

Notre Dame vs Miami Prediction

The schedule-makers were not kind to Notre Dame with this matchup. This is the fourth game in eight days for the Fighting Irish and third in the last five. After a sellout crowd saw them lose to an excellent Duke team, you can understand if Notre Dame’s legs are a bit tired.

Meanwhile, Miami hasn’t played since Saturday and is on an incredible 12-2 run with their only losses coming by a point each to Florida State. The Hurricanes have the 20th-best adjusted offensive efficiency rating in the country, per Bart Torvik, behind the 7th-lowest offensive turnover rate and 36th-best 3-point shooting percentage.

Notre Dame ranks 276th in defensive turnover rate, 333rd in offensive rebounding and 260th in free throw rate. They won’t create easy points for themselves, so they’ll need to hit their shots. Luckily for the Irish, this is where the Hurricanes can be beat. Miami has the 275th-ranked 2-point defense and 300th-ranked 3-point defense. If Notre Dame’s shots are falling, they’ll not only cover the spread but likely win.

However, I worry that their exhaustion will prevent those shots from falling. The Fighting Irish shot just 3/18 from beyond the arc against Duke and I think we’ll see similar difficulties here. When you’re tired, you want to create easy points by forcing turnovers, getting second-chance points and knocking down free throws. Unfortunately, those are the exact kinds of points that Notre Dame just doesn’t get.

On a normal day, I’d take Notre Dame to cover the spread. But with their tired legs against Miami’s fresh ones and the absolute roll that the Hurricanes are on, I’ll take Miami -4.5 (-110) as they move to 8-2 against the spread in their last 10.

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