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FPI projects a strong finish for Notre Dame football

By Oliver Vandervoort

Nov 5, 2022; South Bend, Indiana, USA; Clemson Tigers quarterback DJ Uiagalelei (5) is sacked by Notre Dame Fighting Irish linebacker JD Bertrand (27) in the third quarter at Notre Dame Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 5, 2022; South Bend, Indiana, USA; Clemson Tigers quarterback DJ Uiagalelei (5) is sacked by Notre Dame Fighting Irish linebacker JD Bertrand (27) in the third quarter at Notre Dame Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports /
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The Notre Dame football team is projected to have a rather strong finish to the 2023 season, even if winning out isn’t in the cards.

With four games to play for Notre Dame football this season, it’s time to start looking at how things might finish up. With just two losses on the season, it seems as though there is at least an outside chance that the Fighting Irish could go to a New Years Six bowl.

At the moment, it’s still an outside shot. It seems more likely that Notre Dame football might get to see its former head coach in the postseason.

Just what bowl game the Irish go to is still very much up in the air. However, according to ESPN FPI, how the rest of the Notre Dame football season goes isn’t quite a foregone conclusion but it’s close.

The projections show that Notre Dame football being a 19-point favorite against Pitt isn’t a surprise. ESPN believes that the Figting Irish aren’t going to have too much trouble with the Panthers as they have a 90.8 percent chance of a win.

The following week, Clemson poses the biggest threat to the Irish in its last four games. Notre Dame football is still favored to win, but the FPI ratings only give them a 55.1 chance of beating the Tigers in Death Valley.

Notre Dame football shouldn’t be tested down the stretch

Interestingly enough, the FPI ratings only give the Irish a 44 percent chance of winning out. That could mean that the system just sees Notre Dame football hitting a misstep at some point this season.

If it comes against either Stanford or Wake Forest, it would constitute a pretty massive upset. Notre Dame football is given a 93.5 percent chance of beating the Demon Deacons and a 95.4 percent chance of beating Stanford (the highest probability of any of the last four)

Now it’s all about seeing if Notre Dame football can deliver on what the ESPN FPI sees them doing, or vomit up a game the way they did against Louisville.

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